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KMID : 0364920040290040221
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Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
2004 Volume.29 No. 4 p.221 ~ p.230
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Program for Estimating the Probability of Causation to Korean Radiation Workers with Cancer
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Jung Mi-Sun
Jin Young-Woo
Kim Chong-Soon
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Abstract
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The probability of causation(PC) is the measure to ascertain the likelihood that a particular cancer may be attributed to a particular prior exposure to radiation. Since the PC is involved in several uncertainties, it is desirable to use the confidence limit for the PC, not a point estimate for determining whether to award compensation. We developed the program for estimating the PC to Korean radiation workers with cancer, the so-called RHRI-PEPC, which is based on the most reasonable model for radiation cancer risk and recent Korean baseline data. RHRI-PEPC gives us the upper confidence limit for the PC after adjusting several uncertainties and therefore we can assess more reasonably the causality of radiation exposure for cancer occurred in Korean radiation workers.
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KEYWORD
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Probability of Causation, Uncertainty, Point Estimate, Upper Confidence Limit, Baseline Cancer Incidence Rate
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